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Climate-Mood-Analysis/docs/pipeline-plan.md
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KnouandClaude Opus 5 4d2b3e3d44 Complete Köppen-Geiger filter review with Mixed climate class
Classify each county by area-weighted Köppen class shares: a county is
predominantly its top class when that class covers at least 50% of its
land and leads the runner-up by at least 5 percentage points; otherwise
it is Mixed (133 of 3,143 counties in the 50 states and DC).

- Add build_county_koppen_metric.py (writes data/metrics/koppen.csv) and
  apply_koppen_metric_to_climate_data.py (writes koppenZone plus
  koppenPrimaryClass/koppenSecondaryClass for Mixed counties).
- Move shared helpers into scripts/common/ (county loading, Köppen
  legend, area-weighted raster shares); fix the 180th-meridian raster
  window for Aleutians West.
- Add check_climate_data.py to validate the app CSV.
- Draw Mixed counties in app.js as diagonal stripes of their top two
  classes, fixed to the ground and following the map at every zoom, with
  a crossfade only when the stripe size changes. Filtering a class also
  matches Mixed counties where it is primary or secondary.
- Document the rule, display, and pipeline plan in docs/ and update the
  README and data-source notes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-14 02:54:25 -04:00

16 KiB
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Data Pipeline Improvement Plan

This plan describes how the county data pipeline will move from scripts that edit one shared CSV in place to per-metric outputs assembled into the app CSV. It is a working reference for the filter-by-filter review. Calculation details for each filter live in filter-calculations.md.

Started: 2026-09-12

Guiding decision: review and fix each of the 12 filters one at a time, confirm each works on its own, and restructure data/climate-data.csv only after all filters are clean. No large rewrite happens up front.

1. Current pipeline

Where each filter comes from

Filter Written into climate-data.csv by Upstream scripts
Köppen-Geiger class (plus the two stripe-class columns) apply_koppen_metric_to_climate_data.py build_county_koppen_metric.py → data/metrics/koppen.csv
Annual avg temperature build_county_climate_data.py —
Annual precipitation build_county_climate_data.py —
Seasonality index build_county_climate_data.py —
Wettest / driest month Base build, then overwritten by apply_precipitation_month_metrics_to_climate_data.py —
Diurnal temperature range apply_diurnal_temperature_range_to_climate_data.py build_county_diurnal_temperature_range.py
Extreme temperature days apply_locally_extreme_metric_to_climate_data.py build_county_locally_extreme_data.py
Summer specific humidity apply_gridmet_humidity_metric_to_climate_data.py download_gridmet_data.py → summarize_county_gridmet_humidity.py
90 °F+ heat-index days (plus 2 source-FIPS columns) apply_gridmet_humidity_metric_to_climate_data.py Same as summer humidity
Solar GHI Base build (optional), then replaced by apply_locally_extreme_metric_to_climate_data.py Point: build_county_representative_points.py → fetch_nsrdb_representative_point_ghi.py. Polygon: request_nsrdb_county_polygon_ghi_archives.py → download_nsrdb_county_polygon_ghi_archives.py → summarize_nsrdb_county_polygon_archives.py
Clear-sky GHI reduction apply_nsrdb_cloud_metric_to_climate_data.py Point: fetch_nsrdb_representative_point_cloud_metrics.py. Polygon: request_nsrdb_county_polygon_cloud_archives.py → download_nsrdb_county_polygon_cloud_archives.py → summarize_nsrdb_county_polygon_cloud_archives.py

Supporting scripts: request_nsrdb_county_polygon_archives.py and download_nsrdb_county_polygon_archives.py are the shared engines behind the GHI and cloud wrappers; rebuild_nsrdb_representative_point_ghi_summary.py rebuilds the point GHI summary from cache; check_climate_data.py validates the final CSV. Shared helpers live in scripts/common/ (Phase 2). The base build still writes an old largest-share koppenZone, so the Köppen apply step must run after it.

Current full-rebuild order

  1. build_county_climate_data.py
  2. build_county_koppen_metric.py → apply_koppen_metric_to_climate_data.py
  3. apply_precipitation_month_metrics_to_climate_data.py
  4. build_county_locally_extreme_data.py → apply_locally_extreme_metric_to_climate_data.py
  5. build_county_diurnal_temperature_range.py → apply_diurnal_temperature_range_to_climate_data.py
  6. summarize_county_gridmet_humidity.py → apply_gridmet_humidity_metric_to_climate_data.py
  7. apply_nsrdb_cloud_metric_to_climate_data.py

The README's enrichment list starts at step 2 and omits steps 1 and 3.

Problems

  1. Rerunning a step can destroy data. The base build writes 12 columns, including the retired extremeDays. Later scripts delete, overwrite, or add columns until the live CSV has 20. Rerunning the base build drops 9 live columns (koppenPrimaryClass, koppenSecondaryClass, avgDiurnalTempRangeF, absoluteExtremeDays, clearSkyGhiReductionIndex, avgSummerSpecificHumidityGKg, humidHeatDays, humidHeatSourceFips, humidHeatFipsAdjustment), restores extremeDays, and rewrites koppenZone with the old largest-share method.
  2. Order is implicit. The sequence lives in the README, in scripts/county_data_sources.md, and in each script's assumptions.
  3. Column ownership is unclear. GHI is finalized by the extreme-temperature apply script; wettest/driest month are computed in two places.
  4. County aggregation is inconsistent. NOAA uses touched raster cells, Köppen uses area-weighted shares (since 2026-09-13), gridMET uses cell centers with cos(latitude) weights, and NSRDB uses overlap areas (finding 11 in filter-calculations.md).
  5. No single entry point or final check. A new user must piece together about 20 scripts, several large downloads, and an NSRDB API key.

2. Target design

  1. One metric, one file. Each metric pipeline writes a county-level file under data/metrics/, for example data/metrics/koppen.csv, containing countyFips, the app value, and any audit columns for that metric.
  2. One assemble step. A single script joins the metric files into data/climate-data.csv, using data/metric_sources.json for the column list and per-metric source notes, then runs check_climate_data.py.
    • Run order no longer matters; rerunning one metric cannot damage others.
    • Every column has exactly one owner.
    • The per-row source column moves into metric_sources.json.
    • Audit columns stay in the metric files rather than the app CSV.
  3. One shared county-aggregation module. Area-weighted zonal statistics, including the 180th-meridian split, used by every raster-based metric.
  4. One runner. For example python scripts/pipeline.py --only koppen --skip-download, with stages for fetch, build metrics, assemble, and check. Cached downloads are reused by default.

3. Reproduction tiers

The "Reproducing the data" guide (Phase 4) will be organized by how deep a user needs to go:

Tier What the user does Needs
1. Run the app .\serve.ps1 with the committed CSV Nothing else
2. Reassemble Rebuild climate-data.csv from committed metric files Python environment only
3. Regenerate one metric Download one source, rebuild one metric file, reassemble That metric's source data
4. Full rebuild Everything All sources; NSRDB API key; large downloads (the NOAA monthly temperature file alone is about 5 GB) and hours of paced NSRDB requests

The guide will list each dataset's size, download location, API-key needs, and approximate run time, and the Python requirements will be pinned.

4. Roadmap

Phase 0 — Groundwork (done)

  • scripts/check_climate_data.py validates the app CSV (8 checks) with tests in tests/test_check_climate_data.py.
  • data/metric_sources.json created as an empty skeleton.
  • Köppen raster reads use a padded window per county, and polygons that cross the 180th meridian are split (split_at_antimeridian in scripts/common/county_zonal_stats.py); output verified identical for all 3,221 counties; tests in tests/test_koppen_antimeridian.py.

Phase 1 — Filter-by-filter review (in progress)

Each filter goes through the checklist in section 5. Each fix delivers that metric's own file in data/metrics/ plus a single-column apply step, so the existing CSV keeps working until Phase 3.

Phase 2 — Shared helpers in scripts/common/

scripts/common/ holds code used by more than one data source (NOAA, gridMET, NSRDB, Köppen). Scripts import from it, for example from common.counties import load_counties; nothing in it is run directly.

Rules for common/:

  • Cross-source only. A helper goes in only if metrics from more than one data source use it. Code shared by scripts of a single data source stays with that source, for example a future NSRDB module for the NSRDB prompt, redaction, and error-log helpers.
  • One topic per module. Each module is named for its topic and has a docstring. No catch-all utils.py.
  • Keep it small. Before adding a helper, ask why it does not belong to any one data source.

Current modules:

Module Contents Why it is in common/
county_zonal_stats.py Raster windows, the 180th-meridian split, area-weighted class shares Used by any raster-based metric
counties.py County polygon loading, FIPS normalization, the state FIPS table County identity is shared by nearly every pipeline
koppen_legend.py The Köppen code map and legend loader Temporary: also used by build_county_climate_data.py; moves next to the Köppen code in Phase 3

Rationale. Helper functions make each step of a computation explicit, avoid repeated code, and can be tested separately (Brown CSCI 0111, "Helper Functions"). Shared helper folders, however, tend to lose cohesion and collect unrelated code; the recommended alternative is to keep code with the part of the system it belongs to, allowing a shared folder only if it stays small and documented (Helpers and Utils Folders in Software Architecture). The rules above follow both: shared functions, organized by topic and limited to code that crosses data sources.

Other shared code moves when its filter is reviewed, so each move is tested alongside that filter. A 2026-09-13 survey found 19 functions with identical copies in several scripts and 19 with copies that have drifted apart. Most identical copies are NSRDB helpers, which belong in an NSRDB module rather than common/; read_csv_rows (4 identical copies in apply_* scripts) is cross-source. Drifted copies need a decision on which version is correct before merging. Notable drifts: summarize_county_gridmet_humidity.py has its own county loader and FIPS normalizer, and the state FIPS table is also copied in build_county_representative_points.py, summarize_county_gridmet_humidity.py, and request_nsrdb_county_polygon_archives.py.

Phase 3 — Assemble and restructure (after all 12 filters are clean)

  • Assemble script that builds climate-data.csv from data/metrics/.
  • Populate metric_sources.json; remove the per-row source column.
  • Move audit columns out of the app CSV.
  • Point the app's Sources panel at metric_sources.json.
  • Retire or rewrite build_county_climate_data.py as per-metric builders.
  • Move common/koppen_legend.py next to the Köppen code once nothing outside Köppen imports it.

Phase 4 — Runner and reproduction guide

  • scripts/pipeline.py runner with --only and --skip-download.
  • "Reproducing the data" guide organized by the tiers in section 3.
  • Pinned requirements.
  • End-to-end smoke test on a small synthetic county fixture.
  • Organize scripts by data source (noaa/, gridmet/, nsrdb/, koppen/), each holding its own helpers, with common/ keeping only cross-source code. Scripts in subfolders are run through the runner or as modules (python -m), and the README and data-source commands are updated to match.

5. Per-filter review checklist

For each filter:

  1. Verify the calculation against the source data and document findings.
  2. Decide any rule or method changes with the project owner.
  3. Record the adopted definition in filter-calculations.md.
  4. Implement the calculation, writing data/metrics/<metric>.csv.
  5. Add a single-column apply step for the current CSV.
  6. Update the rules in check_climate_data.py.
  7. Add or update unit tests.
  8. Apply to the CSV, run check_climate_data.py, and compare changed counties against expectations.
  9. Update the app if the value set or display changes.

6. Filter tracker

Known issues come from filter-calculations.md ("Calculation review findings") and this review; none beyond Köppen have been investigated yet.

# Filter Status Known issues to review
1 Köppen-Geiger class Done (2026-09-14): rule applied, Mixed display built, documentation updated See tasks below
2 Annual avg temperature Not started Months weighted equally (finding 1); touched-cell aggregation (finding 2)
3 Diurnal temperature range Not started Lexington, VA (51678) blank, while heat-index days use Rockbridge County as a proxy
4 Extreme temperature days Not started Partial years not normalized (finding 5); depends on retired percentile thresholds (finding 6); Lexington, VA blank
5 90 °F+ heat-index days Not started Daily-extrema proxy (finding 7); permissive year completeness (finding 8)
6 Annual precipitation Not started Partial-year sums accepted (finding 3); touched-cell aggregation (finding 2)
7 Seasonality index Not started Touched-cell aggregation (finding 2)
8 Wettest month Not started Computed in both the base build and the precipitation-month script
9 Driest month Not started Same as wettest month
10 Summer specific humidity Not started Cell-center cos(latitude) aggregation differs from other metrics (finding 11)
11 Solar GHI Not started Finalized by the extreme-temperature apply script; hourly, 365-day assumption (finding 9)
12 Clear-sky GHI reduction Not started Mean of ratios rather than energy totals (finding 10)

Köppen-Geiger tasks

Adopted rule: a county is predominantly its top class if and only if that class covers at least 50% of the county's land and leads the runner-up by at least 5 percentage points; otherwise it is Mixed climate. Expected result for the 50 states and DC: 3,010 predominant, 133 Mixed.

  • Investigate low-majority counties and adopt the rule.
  • Windowed raster reads and 180th-meridian split.
  • Area-weighted class shares (16 × 16 sub-cells per raster cell, scaled by cos(latitude)) in scripts/common/county_zonal_stats.py.
  • Apply the 50% / 5-point rule (scripts/build_county_koppen_metric.py; counties with no valid cells are left blank).
  • Run the builder to write data/metrics/koppen.csv and confirm the expected 3,010 predominant / 133 Mixed (2026-09-13).
  • koppenZone-only apply step (scripts/apply_koppen_metric_to_climate_data.py, with --dry-run).
  • Apply to data/climate-data.csv (2026-09-13; 142 counties changed to Mixed, with koppenPrimaryClass and koppenSecondaryClass added).
  • Allow Mixed in check_climate_data.py.
  • Add a Mixed climate category to app.js, drawn as stripes of the county's top two classes; see koppen-mixed-display-plan.md.
  • Replace the plurality description in filter-calculations.md §1 and mark review findings 2 and 4 resolved for Köppen (2026-09-14).
  • Update the Köppen descriptions and script lists in README.md and scripts/county_data_sources.md (2026-09-14).
  • Tests for shares, the rule, boundary cases, and the apply step (tests/test_koppen_metric.py).

7. Guardrails until Phase 3

  • Do not rerun build_county_climate_data.py against data/climate-data.csv. It would drop 9 live columns, restore extremeDays, and overwrite the Mixed classification in koppenZone.
  • Run check_climate_data.py after every apply step.
  • Change one filter at a time, and compare its before and after values.

8. Open decisions

Decision Options Needed by
Committing large intermediates Commit metric files only, or also source summaries Phase 3

Decided

  • Köppen audit columns (2026-09-12): koppen.csv stores the top class and share and the runner-up class and share alongside koppenZone.
  • Köppen no-data fallback (2026-09-12): a county with no valid raster cells is left blank, not assigned Cfa.
  • Applying Köppen to the app CSV (2026-09-12): wait until the app supports the Mixed class. Done 2026-09-13.
  • Metric files (2026-09-13): one CSV per metric under data/metrics/, starting with koppen.csv.
  • Mixed climate display (2026-09-13): diagonal stripes of each Mixed county's top two classes; see koppen-mixed-display-plan.md.
  • Puerto Rico (2026-09-13): off the map and out of every filter. The app already drops state FIPS 72; the data files keep the rows.
  • Shared helpers (2026-09-13): scripts/common/ holds only code used by more than one data source, one topic per module; code shared within one data source stays with that source. Duplicates move during their own filter's review.